1. DIYTechnicalAnalysis is a private community of traders and investors interested in building wealth from Indian equity market. You can become a member with a one time registration fee of ₹199. Click here to become a member

Gold At Current Levels

Discussion in 'Investment Analysis' started by shabbir, May 8, 2013.

  1. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2012
    Messages:
    6,703
    Likes Received:
    1,940
    Getting so many questions like

    So what are your views on the same. At end I will share my views.
     
  2. ibbu_nlr

    ibbu_nlr New Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2012
    Messages:
    2
    Likes Received:
    0
    According to one study on gold, the recent surge and drop in gold price was part of a shift of gold ownership from bad hands to good hands. though I did not get the full meaning of it I still feel GOLD is GOLD, and still a good price to pick as long term investment.
     
    Last edited: May 8, 2013
  3. sainath85

    sainath85 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2012
    Messages:
    148
    Likes Received:
    15
    Occupation:
    Business Development
    Buying Physical Gold for investment is the worst financial decision one can take. Regarding Gold prices, it will be range bound over the next decade.
     
  4. gambala91

    gambala91 New Member

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2013
    Messages:
    22
    Likes Received:
    0
    Occupation:
    Accounts Officer
    Sir, gold is always required for marriage occasion, I feel that paper gold should purchased at these levels. Now I started purchasing the same for marriage of my daughter .
     
  5. pravin_g

    pravin_g New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2012
    Messages:
    12
    Likes Received:
    1
    This commodity has always attracted investors but somehow I am of the opinion that there are many better investing opportunities than Investing in gold.

    Even I have a small portfolio of gold (in physical form) but I am not sure If I see a handsome appreciation of 20% in next one month, will I think of booking profit, as all of us do in Equity

    Many thanks
    Pravin
     
  6. trvtrekker

    trvtrekker New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2013
    Messages:
    7
    Likes Received:
    0
    Currently gold is sold close to its cost. Any portfolio needs diversity and gold as a commodity is always a good hedge during any market. I think it will be good to acquire gold either in physical form or in paper form but in installments in several months so as to cost average the volatility. This is from a long term perspective.
     
  7. ibbu_nlr

    ibbu_nlr New Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2012
    Messages:
    2
    Likes Received:
    0
    Brother Shabbir's comment is awaited.

    The investment Legend "Mr. Buffett" doesn't like investing on gold, all though its price falls further. does that mean gold is worthless? we have seen the economies collasping, currencies degrading, but if you notice my dear friends gold is least affected. the recent surge and drop in gold price is an indication of changing trend.

    for centuries, Gold is the best insurance out there. Insurance against the insane government policies of money printing and currency debasements. considering the current global recession, economical disasters, balooon policies, illogical money printings, curruptions, stock markets falls, (not necessarily all together), I strongly feel GOLD is the perfect choice in case if we get in trouble. the history proves that it is the yellow metal that can come in real handy during hard times.

    today abc stock of mine is 999 Rs. there is a be possibility tomorrow it drops to 111. but you can never expect such math with metal GOLD.

    cheers!!! :cool:
     
  8. srspriya06

    srspriya06 Active Member

    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2012
    Messages:
    243
    Likes Received:
    47
    At current levels one can avoid investing in gold. Cant predict how far will it go down. It is downtrend in gold.
     
  9. sunil_hajeri

    sunil_hajeri New Member

    Joined:
    May 1, 2012
    Messages:
    17
    Likes Received:
    2
    For 1-2 year horizon, avoid buying gold for investment purpose. If necessary one can buy for small quantity for consumption during marriage/festival.

    It may correct another 20% soon from current level. Then we can start accumulating in Gold ETF or E-Gold.
     
  10. sainath85

    sainath85 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2012
    Messages:
    148
    Likes Received:
    15
    Occupation:
    Business Development
    rather than buying fold for marriage occasion, its better to gift some blue chip shares. Along with Gold- Real estate too will crash in the next 3-4 yrs
     
  11. kamat79

    kamat79 New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2012
    Messages:
    76
    Likes Received:
    1
    Gold will be range-bound, I suggest you invest in stocks instead!
     
  12. kaisarimam96

    kaisarimam96 Member

    Joined:
    Aug 14, 2012
    Messages:
    45
    Likes Received:
    7
    As per my views currently Gold is priced in US dollars and due to financial problems US govt is printing dollars at highest rate of history. They are creating wealth out of thin air. Actually one of top economist of US has said openly that we make some watermark on some piece of paper and how entire world eagerly exchanges its hard earned goods and services for US dollar . Indian govt also prescribes to common man that gold is bad investment but can not answer why RBI is buying gold continuously as reserve. and not only indian govt all global govt is against buying gold by public because governments can control printing of paper currency but they can not print gold. It costs just INR 1.03 to indian govt to print 1000 note. now assume there is X amount of money in circulation and X amount of wealth in country in the form of goods and services now government printed Y amount of new currency notes without telling public from where value will come to Y amount of currency , that is the reason every thing is getting costlier in countries. Gold and silver is the real wealth and even thousand year back one silver coin was sufficient to purchase one chicken and one gold coin was sufficient for buying two goats , this still holds good. recently there are cases noticed in Newyork where gold plated steel was sold as real gold bars. even US govt is encouraging public to buy gold and silver. There is no hope that US economy will improve they are sinking deep in debt and they will weaken USD too much to pay debt or write off , there is no option other than this and at that time gold will become 10- 20 times of current prices. recently it is revealed that in all vaults of US and Switzerland there is no actual gold and futures transactions are done with negligible or no gold backup. so from investment angle gold is having bright future without any doubt.
     
  13. sainath85

    sainath85 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2012
    Messages:
    148
    Likes Received:
    15
    Occupation:
    Business Development
    are you for serious?
     
  14. vishuhd1

    vishuhd1 Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2012
    Messages:
    214
    Likes Received:
    15
    Occupation:
    Software Engineer in IBM, Bangalore
    Apologize for deviating from the main topic... But, what I have heard and read so far is that, any country CAN'T just like that print their currencies.. In that case, there wouldn't have been a word called DEBT of the country as a whole... One of the way any country can print its currency is by showing the corresponding amount of physical form of gold in its kitty... That may be the reason why RBI is buying gold, as in deeper troublesome days, it can show the physical form of gold and print the currency... Please correct me if I am wrong here...
     
  15. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2012
    Messages:
    6,703
    Likes Received:
    1,940
    This is all TV things. They think that gold was in the hands of traders and now it is in hands of investor but all without any data.

    Bold statement buddy. Predicting things for next decade would be really tough looking at the current scenario.

    What do you mean by Paper Gold?

    Depends on your investment objective.

    Perfect.

    Nice but then I think you don't expect such high returns in gold as well. Yes it is better than others but not as good as Equity at times.

    Hmm.

    Why 20%?

    According to me Gold has given a very good dip and this means it would consolidate forming a W and that will be the right time to be getting into Gold for a sure shot money.

    [​IMG]
    I see that it will be in range of 2400 and 2600 for next few weeks and then if it breaks above 2600, then it would be right time to get into the ETF for trading and physical gold for investing purpose.
     

    Attached Files:

  16. m_padmakumar

    m_padmakumar Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2012
    Messages:
    119
    Likes Received:
    5
    Is it worth to invest in SEP manner on Goldbees?

    Thanks
     
  17. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2012
    Messages:
    6,703
    Likes Received:
    1,940
    Whats SEP? Did you mean SIP
     
  18. m_padmakumar

    m_padmakumar Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2012
    Messages:
    119
    Likes Received:
    5
    SEP- Systematic Equity plan for equities and SIP for mutual funds. Both are same.

    Thanks
     
  19. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Apr 30, 2012
    Messages:
    6,703
    Likes Received:
    1,940
    When it comes to gold if you time horizon is more than 3 years, I prefer gold over ETF's
     
  20. kamat79

    kamat79 New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2012
    Messages:
    76
    Likes Received:
    1
    Hello Shabbir sir,

    I was thinking Gold ETFs are equivalent to Gold. Is there any specific reason for choosing GOLD over ETFs?

    Thanks,
    Keshav.