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Nifty's Trap

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by rajesh_gaikwad, Sep 13, 2016.

  1. rajesh_gaikwad

    rajesh_gaikwad Member

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    We had observed nice uptrend couple of days ago. But now it seems like a trap to capture everyone at high prices. Market is overbought but 100 point down before opening the market was disastrous and could be a nightmare for some uninformed swing traders if trend continues.

    There may not be much impact on day-traders but they also need to change the plan drastically at the last minute. Small retail traders seems to be unaware how to react.

    Also, observed that automated systems by big institutions are quite intelligent to keep the retailers out of the bay and keep trading furiously at EMA levels. Most of the time “Shooting stars” captures yours stop loss and throw you out of the positions for no real reasons.

    Interested in knowing how these situations are tackled by others.
     
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  2. dsatyanandam

    dsatyanandam Member

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    Yes,
    That's why professional gain many times. We gain sometimes but bet always.
     
  3. mannbsk

    mannbsk New Member

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    Sir
    I do not know technical analysis.in present market scenario future and option play important role.All big players create their position in f&o before any move in any direction.
     
  4. yankeedin

    yankeedin Responder

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    Nothing to worry as of now. Nifty still in strong uptrend. Correction was necessary. Check attached chart
     

    Attached Files:

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  5. nirajshah

    nirajshah Champion

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    Thanks for the update. You guys rock
     
  6. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    I don't think so. Nifty has formed an island gap and so I see significant correction unless the gap is filled very soon
     
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  7. akuvijay

    akuvijay Active Member

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  8. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    That was a gap up and it acts as support this time its a huge gap down and also forming a perfect island pattern. I am skeptical.
     
  9. yankeedin

    yankeedin Responder

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    Still trend line not broken yet. I have seen time again, if trend line not broken for 2-3 continuous days, it bound to go up. Let's see what's in store.

    Note: Nifty had side ways movement for 2 days but ended few points up in green. Let's wait and watch another day, then may be it's clear
     
  10. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    I would like to see the gap being filled completely and Nifty reaching 8850 to assume the island gap is cancelled.
     
  11. rajesh_gaikwad

    rajesh_gaikwad Member

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    I think Nifty must touch 200 EMA to take a rise in full swing. IMO. 8640-8650 levels ? :eek:
    May be another island gap and rise.... in next few days ??
     
  12. akuvijay

    akuvijay Active Member

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    I think some gap is filled today Shabbir.. but problem is.. 2 continuous doji's indicating indecisiveness in direction..

    Sent from my MotoG3 using DIY Technical Analysis mobile app
     
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  13. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    Yes Island gap is filled but it also means that the resistance of the gap of 8850 proved really crucial and clearly there is no direction. Time is the key here and I think market will be in such directionless mood till we have FOMC meeting
     
  14. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    That is what I am hoping but market does not work on our hope and so ideally I would prefer to avoid positions ahead of the event.
     
    Last edited: Sep 17, 2016
  15. Suresh_Sinha

    Suresh_Sinha Active Member

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    Yes many traders are closely watching 8850 to 8860 levels.
     
  16. yankeedin

    yankeedin Responder

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    Finally island gap closed completely. Also as informed earlier, up trend line is still intact.

    Looking at charts target looks to be 9200 with 8700 as strong support
     
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  17. mdsafdarimam

    mdsafdarimam Active Member

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    in coming days range of 8910 - 8928 is very crucial zone , unable to close above it, nifty can see another down move towards 8760 - 8700. bulls need a close above 8928 for a move towards 8968 - 9056 - 9120 . bears below 8700 on closing basis can drag nifty to lower levels. watch , watch & watch and be careful while taking any long positions. today FIIs liquidated long positions (2.6 k) and added short positions(0.8 k) in index future. lastly, all price levels are of nifty spot.
     
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2016
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  18. nirajshah

    nirajshah Champion

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    Thanks for sharing those levels.

    Sent from my 504Q+ using DIY Technical Analysis mobile app
     
  19. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    Yes and hopeful that it will take out the next resistance as well. Trend is up again though
     
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  20. shabbir

    shabbir Administrator Staff Member

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    Looks like NIfty just filled the gap is very near to its support now. Long should be traded with cautions.
     
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